Tracking the Edmonton Oilers Rebuild: Projecting and Comparing Wingers

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This is the second post in a series looking at the offensive totals of other rebuilding teams in their breakout years as compared to projected Oilers offensive totals in 2014-2015, as prophesied by the talented Jonathan Willis at Oilers Nation and the equally reputable Lowetide at his site. In the first post I looked at middlemen, and here we’ll be examining wingers.

I’ve also made a few changes to the previous post in this series as I tried my best to wrap my head around depth charts, so take a peak if you wish.

It’s important to note that these depth charts do take a little bit of guessing based on games played and time on ice. Trying to piece together who played where, and where everyone should officially be slotted in each teams depth, is a bit of a headache. I did my best to paint as accurate a picture as possible of each team in their breakout seasons.

Also worth noting is that neither Lowetide and Willis attempted to project any major injuries, the likes of which many of the rebuilding teams did see over the course of their breakout seasons. That sort of thing is way too difficult to predict, and so both writers left them out for the purposes of their exercises. They did, however, attempt to account for minor injuries and roster changes and that was reflected in each player’s GP, which has been listed in their posts.

All that said, the numbers that we’re arriving at and comparing in this post are approximations. They give us a bit of an idea of how successfully rebuilt teams performed at certain positions in their breakout seasons, and how the Oilers could potentially stack up in comparison.I’m choosing to leave it at that. I could have further projected everyone over a full 82 game season to try and do away with the GP problem, but ultimately that would have only led to more approximations.

Comparing Wingers on Successfully Rebuilt Teams

Hall Eberle

Player

GP

G

A

Pts

TOI

Penguins 2006-2007

Mark Recchi

82

24

44

68

19:44

Colby Armstrong

80

12

22

34

16:49

Ryan Malone

64

16

15

31

16:15

Gary Roberts

19

7

6

13

15:46

Nisse Ekman

34

6

9

15

13:48

Michel Oullet

73

19

29

48

13:19

Erik Christensen

61

18

15

33

11:37

Jarko Ruutuu

81

7

9

16

9:19

TOTALS:

109

149

258

Capitals 2007-2008

Alex Ovechkin

82

65

47

112

23:06

Sergei Federov

18

2

11

13

18:51

Viktor Kozlov

81

16

38

54

17:34

Alex Semin

63

23

16

39

16:54

Matt Pettinger

56

2

5

7

14:42

Tomas Fleischmann

75

10

20

30

12:37

Matt Bradley

77

7

11

18

9:59

Donald Brashear

80

5

3

8

7:51

TOTALS:

130

151

281

Blackhawks 2008-2009

Patrick Kane

80

25

45

70

18:39

Martin Havlat

81

29

48

77

17:24

Kris Versteeg

78

22

31

53

17:02

Troy Brouwer

69

10

16

26

15:04

Dustin Byfuglien

77

15

16

31

14:52

Andrew Ladd

82

15

34

49

14:23

Adam Burish

66

6

3

9

9:12

Ben Eager

75

11

4

15

8:31

TOTALS:

133

197

330

Avalanche 2013-2014

Ryan O’Reilly

80

28

36

64

19:49

Gabriel Landeskog

81

26

39

65

18:40

Alex Tanguay

16

4

7

11

17:16

PA Parenteau

55

14

19

33

16:57

Max Talbot

70

7

18

25

16:19

Jamie McGinn

79

19

19

38

15:46

Marc Andre Cliche

76

1

6

7

10:33

Cody McLeod

71

5

8

13

10:19

TOTALS:

104

152

256

AVERAGES:

119

162.25

281.25

 

G (Willis) G (LT) A (LT) Points (LT)
Jordan Eberle

31

30

38

68

Teddy Purcell

15

11

28

39

Nail Yakupov

18

21

21

42

Tyler Pitlick

3

3

7

10

Taylor Hall

28

33

50

83

Benoit Pouliot

13

14

18

32

David Perron

25

23

29

52

Matt Hendricks

6

3

6

9

Totals:

139

138

197

335

Goals Assists Points
Penguins 06-07

109

149

258

Capitals 07-08

130

151

281

Blackhawks 08-09

133

197

330

Avalanche 13-14

104

152

256

Averages:

119

162.25

281.25

In Conclusion

The Oilers have actual depth on the wing–an abundance of offensive talent. Some of Lowetide’s and Willis’ projections could easily be surpassed (I’m looking at you, Nail).

While, in the previous post, we saw that the Oilers are likely to lag behind other rebuilt teams at centre, the wing corps should create more than enough offence to pick up the slack on the scoresheet.

As Jonathan Willis has mentioned in his projection series, he believes that the Oilers are capable of scoring like a playoff-calibre team. I tend to agree.

The question were all asking is: will it be enough?

I’ll look at the defence in the next post.

Shameless Self-Promotion

Long before I ever blogged about the Oilers, I was writing songs and playing music for people in YEG and now YVR. This week, my label and I released the first track from my upcoming full-length album, set to come out in September. I’ve posted the audio player below.

Give it a listen. Let me know what you think. And keep your eyes and ears peeled for announcements and new releases in the coming weeks. You can also like my (music) Facebook page if you so desire.

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